Here is an experiment.
As my wife and son can attest, I am a huge NFL football fan, and even bigger Miami Dolphins fan. I start thinking about next week’s game around Tuesday. I keep tabs on all the teams, but not in any statistically anal way. I generally know which teams seem to be doing better than, or worse than, expected but don’t bother with things like how injuries will affect teams (other than the Dolphins and who they’re playing each week), or how team A’s offense stacks up against Team B’s defense.
I tell you this, only so you get an idea as to my general knowledge of football and how that relates to this experiment, which is: I am going to post my predictions as to who will win each game this weekend. I will also post the prediction of a coin-flip. The experiment is to see how much better I do than a seemingly random guess.
On each line below are the matchups, visitor first, home team second. After that will be my expert pick (MP:), followed by the toin-coss pick (TC:).
I’ll inform you of the results next Tuesday, as if you give a shit.
San Diego @ Chicago - MP: San Diego TC: Chicago
NY Giants @ NY Jets - MP: NY Jets TC: NY Jets
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay - MP: Tampa Bay TC: Tampa Bay
Jacksonville @ Baltimore - MP: Baltimore TC: Jacksonville
Indinapolis @ Miami - MP: Miami (of course) TC: Miami
Oakland @ Detroit - MP: Oakland TC: Detroit
Carolina @ Houston - MP: Carolina TC: Houston
Cincinatti @ Arizona - MP: Cincinatti TC: Arizona
Pittsburgh @ Seattle - MP: Seattle TC: Pittsburgh
Philadelphia @ Atlanta - MP: Philadelphia TC: Philadelphia
St.Louis @ San Fransisco - MP: St. Louis TC: St.Louis
Washington @ Dallas - MP: Washington TC: Dallas
Green Bay @ Minnesota - MP: Minnesota TC: Minnesota
New England @ Denver - MP: New England TC: New England